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US Election Multi outcome

Status Open

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

Will Republican House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Apr 23, 2026, 01:00 PM - Apr 23, 2026, 01:52 PM
<3 36.5% · +29.4%
4-6 32.7% · -1.8%
>15 25.8% · +28.8%
10-12 20.5% · +17.5%
19% 23.8% 28.5% 33.3% 38%
Apr 23Apr 23Apr 23
1H6H1D1WMAX
Join prediction
Current leader <3 · 36.5%
Candidate #1 <3 · 36.5%
Candidate #2 4-6 · 32.7%
Candidate #3 >15 · 25.8%
Candidate #4 10-12 · 20.5%
Candidate #5 7-9 · 16.6%
Candidate #6 13-15 · 1.8%