Foreign Policy
Binary
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Apr 22, 2026, 12:30 PM - Apr 23, 2026, 12:18 PM
Yes
7.5% · -3.2%
No
92.6% · +3.1%
Apr 22Apr 23Apr 23
Market
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes
7.5%
No
92.6%
End time
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM