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Foreign Policy Binary

Status Open

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Apr 23, 2026, 06:30 AM - Apr 23, 2026, 12:18 PM
Yes 7.5% · -3.2%
No 92.6% · +3.1%
5% 27.5% 50% 72.5% 95%
Apr 23Apr 23Apr 23
1H6H1D1WMAX
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Market Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes 7.5%
No 92.6%
End time Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM