Economy
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
3.9%
71.9%
3.8%
44%
Business
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
37.2%
1 (25 bps)
29.5%
Culture
Next CEO of Lululemon?
Will André Maestrini be the next CEO of Lululemon?
André Maestrini
0.1%
Stephanie Linnartz
0.1%
Tech
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
Binary
Yes
3.3%
No
96.7%
Finance
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?
Binary
Yes
20%
No
80%
World
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?
June 30, 2026
3.9%
December 31, 2025
0%
Big Tech
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
Binary
Yes
21%
No
79%
Tech
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?
Cursor
83%
Caesars Entertainment
68%
Economy
Largest Company end of December 2026?
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
NVIDIA
70.5%
Alphabet
12.5%
Big Tech
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
Binary
Yes
8%
No
92%
Tech
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
OpenAI
39%
xAI
15.5%
Tech
Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?
Binary
Yes
2%
No
98.1%
IPOs
IPOs before 2027?
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
SpaceX
94.1%
Cerebras
93.1%
Macro Indicators
US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
2.0–2.5%
28.1%
1.5–2.0%
19.4%
Tech
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
Binary
Yes
17%
No
83%
OpenAI
Sam Altman in jail by...?
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?
June 30, 2026
2.7%
December 31, 2025
0%
Finance
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
December 31, 2026
9.5%
June 30, 2026
2.9%